Analysis of the Predicamentand Reasons of DPP＇s Public Affairs and Its Influence ——Based on the Theory of the Relationship between Party and Policy
- 台研院－已发表论文 
政策是政党与民意互动的中介。基于政党与政策关系的理论视角，通过分析民进党的执政表现，研究认为民进党意识形态执政，不仅两岸关系受到冲击，民生执政也面临诸多困境，引发社会抗议不断，政党支持度呈现断崖式下降。究其根源在于民进党投机主义的执政文化、台湾分裂型的政治生态和日益民粹化的民意环境，以及经济资源匮乏等。民进党执政困境必然对岛内政党政治、台湾社会团结，以及两岸关系产生影响。尤其是民生执政与两岸关系存在着联动性，当经济民生无法有效施政，可能加大对“台独”意识形态靠拢力度，两岸关系很可能成为转移内部矛盾的主要对象，成为民生执政失败的替罪羊。Social policy is the intermediary between Party and Voters.From the perspective of the theory of the relationship between Party and policy, based on the analysis of the performance of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, it is concluded that DPP Rules Taiwan by virtue of ideology, which is not only bad for the cross-Strait relations, but also harmful for the improvement of people＇s livelihood.In that case,social protests are emerged in large numbers ,political support facing cliff fall. The reason can be stated as follows, DPP＇s opportunism ruling culture, Taiwan Separatism political ecology and Populism, lack of resources and economy etc.. The ruling dilemma of the DPP is bound to have an impact on public affairs, party politics, social solidarity in Taiwan, and the relationship across the Taiwan strait.Especiallypublic affairs and the cross- Strait relations exist linkage, when the economy and people＇s livelihood don＇t have effective governance, DPP may increase efforts to get close to the Taiwan independence ideology, cross-Strait relations is likely to become the main object of transfer of internal contradictions, become a scapegoat for the failure of DPP＇s ruling.