On the Dilemma and Prospect of Cross-Strait Economic and Trade Relations at Present Stage
- 台研院－已发表论文 
近年由于内外经济环境的巨大变化，两岸经贸关系发展已面临结构性困局，而随着民进党重新上台执政，采取弱化两岸经济关系的政策，两岸经贸关系更进入冷缩期。这种发展趋势将进一步弱化台湾经济增长的动力；台湾在区域经济整合大潮中将更加边缘化。未来两岸经贸关系发展将重回民间性与市场性，两岸经贸交流合作仍会在市场原则下具有较大的发展空间。两岸民间仍将加快经济融合发展；大陆仍会持续采取扩大对台开放的相关政策；地方性与区域性交流合作将成为两岸交流合作的重要形式。In recent years, due to the tremendous changes in the internal and external economic environment, cross-strait economic and trade relations have faced structural difficulties, and the deterioration of cross-strait relationship has seriously impacted on it since the DPP re-took power, while the DPP has adopted polices to weaken the economic ties between Mainland China and Taiwan, the cross-strait economic relations begin to enter a cold period. This trend will make Taiwan more weak in economic growth momentum and more marginalized in the regional economic integration tide, and then have a further negative effect on cross-strait political relationship. The further development of cross-strait economic and trade relations will resort to civil and market force, and the cross-strait economic exchanges and cooperation will still have a larger market space under the principle of the market. The civil society between the two sides will continue to accelerate the development of economic integration ; Mainland authority will continue to expand the open policy to Taiwan; the forms of local and regional exchanges and cooperation will be important; under the new situation, Fujian will play an important role in the development of cross-strait economic integration.