民进党重返执政后新潮流系发展态势研究

Abstract

长期以来，新潮流系一直是民进党内最具实力兼擅长论述的重要派系。绿营重返执政后，新潮流系获得了极为丰厚的执政资源。无论是“府院”高层，还是中央党部，甚至公营事业关键职位，新潮流系成员都抢占了不少位置，加之新潮流系还掌握着7个地方县市的执政权，治理台湾近四成人口，左右着两成“立委”席次。新潮流系的实力膨胀，引发了党内其他派系的焦虑与反弹。围绕执政资源的争夺以及2018年地方选举、2020年“大选”的角逐，新潮流系与党内其他派系的争斗无疑将更为激烈。本文对新潮流系的最新状况及发展趋向进行分析，试图勾勒出该派系在绿营重返执政大背景下的发展态势。

For years the New Tide has been a faction with the biggest strength, including the power of discourse, within the Democratic Progressive Party （DPP） in Taiwan. Since the DPP returned to power in 2016, New Tide members have managed to seize many key posts in Taiwan＇s administra- tive and legislative branches, in the DPP＇s central committee, as well as in Taiwan＇s public--service institutions. Meanwhile, the faction holds the administrative power in 7 counties and municipalities, governing nearly 40 percent of the Taiwan population, and occupies about 20 percent of Taiwan＇s legislative seats. The rapid growth of the New Tide has caused a lot of anxiety and counterac- tion from other factions of the DPP. It is expected that harsh competition will take place between the New Tide and other factions for power resources as well as in the local elections in 2018 and the elec tion of Taiwan＇s leadership in 2020. By analyzing the new status and potential moves of the New Tide, this article outlines the trends of development of the faction after the DPP returned to power in Taiwan.