2008年以来蔡英文两岸政策主张变化分析

Abstract

2008年蔡英文首次就任民进党主席到2014年5月第三次担任党主席,以至成为2016年"总统"候选人并且当选,直到就职,其两岸政策主张发生了一系列变化。本文以2014年5月为界线分成两个时期,梳理及论述蔡英文的两岸政策主张及其变化,揭示具体的背景和原因,并且对其"5.20"就职演说的两岸政策部分作一初步分析,借以作为考察其主政之后两岸政策走向的基础。

From 2008 to 2016, Tsai Ing-wen served three terms as the DPP's chairwoman. In the year of 2016, she was sworn in as the leader of Taiwan. During these 8 years, Tsai's cross-Strait policy has changed frequently. Taking the May of 2014 as the line of demarcation, this article divides the 8 years into two periods. After that, the author summarizes and analyses Tsai's cross-Strait policy as well as its changes, and further reveals the contexts and the causes of the changes. In addition, this article also makes a preliminary analysis to the cross-Strait policy in Tsai's "5·20" inaugural address, which provides the basis to examine the future directions of cross-Strait policy during her time in office.