经济景气指数研究的比较与思考

Abstract

景气分析是经济计量的典型问题,应用景气指数进行定量分析,对理解经济总体和具体行业的运行状况有不可替代的作用。文章介绍了经济景气的理论和景气指数的基本构建方法,梳理了景气指数研究的发展脉络,系统剖析了近期国内外研究状况,重点总结了国内的实证分析和研究现状。

Economic climate analysis is a typical problem of econometric, and climate index is also applied to quantitative analysis, which is irreplaceable to understand the operational status of gross economy and specific industry. This paper mainly in- troduces the theories of the economic climate and the basic building method of climate index. By sorting out the development skeleton of climate index, this paper also analyzes the recent research status of the subject systematically, and summarizes the empirical analysis and the research status in China.