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dc.contributor.author彭水军
dc.contributor.authorPENG Shui-jun
dc.contributor.author余丽丽
dc.contributor.authorYU Li li
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-10T07:33:01Z
dc.date.available2017-02-10T07:33:01Z
dc.date.issued2017-02
dc.identifier.citation厦门大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2017,239(1):1-12zh_CN
dc.identifier.issn0438-0460
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/127510
dc.description彭水军,厦门大学国际经济与贸易系教授、博士生导师;余丽丽,厦门大学国际经济与贸易系博士研究生。zh_CN
dc.description.abstract【中文摘要】近年来,有关贸易与气候变化问题越来越受到国际社会的关注,利用 GTAP-E 模型对贸易自由化背景下不同减排方案的宏观经济和碳排放影响进行预测模拟。结果表明,“附件 I 减排”和“全球合作性减排”的总量管制模式是以牺牲经济增长和消费者福利为代价的,而作为灵活机制的“全球碳排放交易”,对全球总量减排效果最为明显,同时对全球经济损失和消费者福利影响的程度相对较小。对中国而言,较之其他减排方案,“全球碳排放交易”将促使附件 I 国家将减排压力、资源配置损失向中国转移,导致中国碳排放量增加的同时贸易条件恶化、经济总量明显下降。在贸易自由化背景下,参与“全球合作性减排”对中国的低碳经济转型更为有利。 【Abstract】 This paper takes advantage of the GTAP-E model to forecast the macroeconomic and carbon emissions of different emission reduction policies in the context of trade liberalization. It is found that the “Annex I Emissions Reduction” policy and the “Global Cooperative Emissions Reduction” policy have proved that the total amount of emission is reduced at the expense of economic growth and consumer welfare. As one of the most flexible mechanisms for carbon emission reduction, the “Global Carbon Emissions Trading”policy has the most obvious effect on global emission reduction but the smallest global economic losses and extent of the deterioration of consumer welfare. For China, compared with other policies, the “Global Carbon Emissions Trading” policy will lead Annex 1 countries to pass on the emission constraint and resource allocation loss to China, resulting in more carbon emissions, greater economic loss and worse TOT in China. In the midst of global trade liberalization, the better choice for the development of China’s low-carbon economy is to participate in the “Global Cooperative Emissions Reduction” policy.zh_CN
dc.description.sponsorship国家社科基金重大项目“气候变化与国际贸易问题研究”(13&ZD167);国家自然科学基金面上项目“国际贸易的碳排放区域转移效应评估、形成机理及中国的碳排放责任研究”(71373218);教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目“开放经济条件下资源环境约束强化、技术进步与中国经济增长效率”(12JJD790027);福建省社科基金重点项目“国际贸易的碳排放区域转移研究”(2012A009);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金“国际贸易与产业发展”(20720171001)zh_CN
dc.language.isozhzh_CN
dc.publisher厦门大学学报(哲学社会科学版)编辑部zh_CN
dc.subject贸易自由化zh_CN
dc.subjecttrade liberalizationzh_CN
dc.subject减排方案zh_CN
dc.subjectcarbon-abatement policieszh_CN
dc.subject碳泄漏zh_CN
dc.subjectcarbon leakagezh_CN
dc.subjectGTAP-E 模型zh_CN
dc.subjectGTAP-E Modelzh_CN
dc.title几种减排方案对宏观经济及碳排放的影响——基于贸易自由化背景的模拟分析zh_CN
dc.title.alternativeEconomic and Carbon Emission Effects of Different Emission Reduction Schemes under the Open System: Simulation Analysis Based on the GTAP-E Modelzh_CN
dc.typeJournal Paperzh_CN


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