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dc.contributor.author邓利娟
dc.contributor.author范芹
dc.date.accessioned2016-05-17T07:00:05Z
dc.date.available2016-05-17T07:00:05Z
dc.date.issued2014-3-10
dc.identifier.citation南京审计学院学报,2014,(2):33-40
dc.identifier.issn1672-8750
dc.identifier.otherNJSJ201402004
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/120419
dc.description.abstract在相关理论和两岸经贸发展特点的基础上,分析两岸经济周期协动性的传递因素和机制,实证研究两岸贸易强度、直接投资强度和产业结构相似度与经济周期协动性的因果关系,结果显示:虽然两岸贸易与台商投资是两岸经贸往来的主要形式,但这对两岸经济周期协动性的变化并未产生直接作用,说明两岸之间并未形成实质性的经济互动;产业结构相似度是两岸经济周期协动性变化的主要原因,这预示随着两岸经贸的密切发展、产业合作的深入进行和大陆产业结构的升级,两岸经济结构特征逐渐趋同且紧密联接。
dc.description.abstractBased on the relevant theory and the characteristics of cross-strait business econmy and trade development,the paper analyzes the transmission factors and mechanism of cross-strait business cycle co-movements and it also makes an empirical study on the relationship between the intensity of cross-strait trade,direct investment and industry struckure similarity and business cycle co-movements.The results show that there exists a long-term equilibrium relationship among four variables,and industry structure is the main reason of the business cycle co-movements.Trade and direct investment have a significant impact on the business cycle co-movements only together with industry structure,which shows that there is no substantial economic interaction between cross-strait economy.
dc.description.sponsorship国家社会科学基金项目(09BJL057); 2013年中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2013221020)
dc.language.isozh_CN
dc.subject两岸经贸往来
dc.subject经济周期协动性
dc.subject产业结构相似度
dc.subject两岸经济合作
dc.subject贸易强度
dc.subject直接投资强度
dc.subject两岸经济一体化
dc.subjectcross-strait economy and trade contracts
dc.subjectbusiness cycle co-movement
dc.subjectindustry structure similarity
dc.subjectcross-strait economic cooperation
dc.subjecttrade intensity
dc.subjectdirect investment intensity
dc.subjectcross-strait economic integration
dc.title两岸经贸、产业结构与经济周期协动性——基于VECM模型的实证分析
dc.title.alternativeCross-strait Trade,Industry Structure and Business Cycle Co-movement:Empirical Analysis with VECM Model
dc.typeArticle


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