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dc.contributor.author陈建宝
dc.contributor.author乔宁宁
dc.date.accessioned2016-05-17T03:24:13Z
dc.date.available2016-05-17T03:24:13Z
dc.date.issued2013-01-15
dc.identifier.citation统计研究,2013,30(255):81-88
dc.identifier.issn1002-4565
dc.identifier.otherTJYJ201301014
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.xmu.edu.cn/handle/2288/113001
dc.description.abstract在对产出缺口进行测算的基础上,本文运用非线性平滑转换回归模型刻画了我国通货膨胀与产出缺口之间的动态非线性关系。研究结果表明:产出缺口对通货膨胀的影响具有典型的非线性特征和非对称性,并且这种影响具有明显的阶段性特征,在1994-1998年和1999-2007年间,线性特征明显;而在1981-1993年和2008年以后,非线性特征明显,且两种特征之间转换频繁。
dc.description.abstractBased on the measurment of output gap,the non-linear smooth transition model is employed to capture the dynamic relationship between output gap and inflation in China.The results show that the influence of Chinese output gap on the inflation rate has the typical non-linear characteristic and the asymmetry;The relationship between them has the obvious gradual characteristic.During 1994 to 1998 and 1999 to 2007,it presented the obvious linear characteristic.However,during 1981 to 1993 and after 2008,the non-linear characteristic is obvious,and the relationship is changing frequently between linearity and non-linearity.
dc.description.sponsorship国家社科重大基金研究项目“扩大内需的宏观经济政策研究”(08&ZD034);国家社科重点基金研究项目“国家统计数据质量管理研究”(09AZD045); 教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“中国居民消费价格指数(CPI)的理论与实践研究”(11JZD019)资助
dc.language.isozh_CN
dc.subject通货膨胀
dc.subject产出缺口
dc.subject菲利普斯曲线
dc.subjectSTR模型
dc.subjectInflation Rate
dc.subjectOutput Gap
dc.subjectPhillips Curve
dc.subjectSTR Model
dc.title中国菲利普斯曲线的非线性特征分析
dc.title.alternativeNonlinearity Analysis of Phillips Curve in China
dc.typeArticle


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